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HURRICANE BERYL ALERT STATEMENT AND ADVISORY
Friday 6th July 2018

Hurricane Beryl Advisory Number  5
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022018
1100 AM AST Fri Jul 06 2018

Brazen Beryl a little stronger.
Now forecast to still be a hurricane as it approaches the Lesser Antilles

Summary 1100am AST...1500 UTC...Information
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...10.7N 46.5W
ABOUT 1045 MI...1685 KM ESE OF THE LESSER ANTILLES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.36 INCHES

Watches and Warning
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests in the Lesser Antilles should monitor the progress of Beryl, as hurricane watches could be needed for some of the islands by tonight.

Discussion and Outlook
----------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Beryl was located near latitude 10.7 North, longitude 46.5 West.  Beryl is moving toward the west near 15 mph (24 km/h).  A faster westward to west-northwestward motion is expected to begin over the weekend and continue through early next week.  On the forecast track, the center of Beryl will approach the Lesser Antilles over the weekend and cross the island chain late Sunday or Monday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 80 mph (130 km/h) with higher gusts.  Additional strengthening is forecast during the
next couple of days, and Beryl is expected to still be a hurricane when it reaches the Lesser Antilles late Sunday or Monday.

Weakening is expected once Beryl reaches the eastern Caribbean Sea on Monday, but the system may not degenerate into an open trough until it reaches the vicinity of Hispaniola and the central Caribbean Sea.

Beryl is a compact hurricane.  Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 10 miles (20 km) from the center, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 994 mb (29.36 inches).

Tropical Storm Beryl Alert Statement
Antigua and Barbuda Meteorological Services
5:49 pm ECT Thu, Jul 5, 2018

This is for the Leeward Islands and British Virgin Islands

Tiny Beryl becomes the first hurricane of the 2018 atlantic hurricane season. At 5am AST or 0900Z the centre of Hurricane Beryl was located near latitude 10.6 north, longitude 45.1 west or about 1029 miles east-southeast of the Leeward Islands and 1206 miles southeast of the British Virgin Islands.

Hurricane Beryl is moving toward the west at 14 miles per hour. a faster west-northwestward motion is expected through the weekend. Maximum sustained winds are near 75 mph with higher gusts. some additional strengthening is forecast today. Beryl is forecast to quickly weaken by late saturday and become a tropical storm or degenerate into a strong open trough near the lesser antilles late sunday or monday.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 10 miles from the centre and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 35 miles.The estimated minimum central pressure is 995 mb or 29.39 inches.

There continues to be much uncertainty in how much beryl will strengthen, or otherwise, before reaching the islands. However, it remains quite likely that locally heavy rains and strong gusty winds associated with the system will impact portions of the Leeward Islands on Sunday and Monday. Residents of the Leeward and British Virgin Islands are advised to closely monitor its progress.


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